No position
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.65K
- Potential profit
- $23.65K
- User PnL
- -$14.85K
Polymarket Trader
Mangy62
0xcc50df7aecb69c741a10d1ff3f9c5fa69b60df9b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.5K
- Realized PnL
- $73.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.47K
- Potential profit
- $20.47K
- User PnL
- -$12.43K
Yes position
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.08K
- Potential profit
- $13.08K
- User PnL
- -$5.88K
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.44K
- Potential profit
- $12.44K
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.67K
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $6.32K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$244.94
No position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.28K
- Potential profit
- $9.28K
- User PnL
- -$6.71K
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.56K
- Potential profit
- $7.56K
- User PnL
- -$1.84K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.43K
- Potential profit
- $7.43K
- User PnL
- -$519.99
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.37K
- Potential profit
- $6.37K
- User PnL
- -$2.03K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.45K
- Potential profit
- $5.45K
- User PnL
- -$2.6K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$165
Yes position
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.16K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- User PnL
- -$70.56
Yes position
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- User PnL
- -$1.54K
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$673.77
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $830
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$300.48
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- User PnL
- -$703.5
Yes position
Will Michigan State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$36.59
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$119.08
Yes position
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$573.17
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$464.71
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$281.7
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$269.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7K
Republican position
House control after 2024 election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.24K
Yes position
Will Trump win 7 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7K
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71K
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Will Biden issue a preemptive pardon?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Kash Patel be Trump's FBI director?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $958.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes 90% 120.78 shares
- Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under 52% 96.15 shares
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Under 49% 100 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 44% 8,996.69 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes 59% 172.79 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 21% 862.34 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 43% 1,000 shares
- Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?No 12.1% 136.66 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 10.2% 4,500 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4% 1,000 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.4% 1,000 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 25.7% 5 shares