Polymarket Trader

urakan

@urakaan

0xcc7cc758832741d13ad773e7074215922e354ce2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.06K
Realized PnL: $9.68K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $3.54
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $413.13
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $9.22
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $303.28
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $4.22

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $187.24
Potential payout: $206.9
Potential profit: $19.66
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $163.92
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.44
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $116.48
Potential payout: $120.4
Potential profit: $3.91
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $16.48

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $104.32
Potential payout: $108.44
Potential profit: $4.12
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $14.32

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $92.23
Potential payout: $104.81
Potential profit: $12.58
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $85.83
Potential payout: $99.23
Potential profit: $13.4
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.83

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $58.98
Potential payout: $88.03
Potential profit: $29.05
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $8.98

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $60.32
Potential payout: $79.37
Potential profit: $19.05
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $10.32

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $68.22
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $69.68
Potential profit: $69.47
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$49.79

Over position

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $49.38
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $13.13
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $61.7
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $54.08
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $1.47
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.08

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $52.17
Potential payout: $52.3
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $13.7
Potential payout: $38.06
Potential profit: $24.36
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $30.87
Potential payout: $31.81
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.87

No position

Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $21.39
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $6.39
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $25.89
Potential payout: $27.4
Potential profit: $1.51
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.38

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $18.15
Potential payout: $18.4
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $10.09
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $7.16
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $5.34
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $974.34

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.62

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.14

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.82

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.47

Under position

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.38

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $353.76

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.27

No position

Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.18

9z position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.13

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.91

Raptors position

Heat vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.29

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $181.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.01

Team Liquid position

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.24

No position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.17

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.72

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.12

No position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.18

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.9

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5

Over 80% 62.5 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 36.3% 106.38 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 47% 106.38 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

No 26.3% 38.06 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?

No 84% 23.81 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 81% 61.73 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 87% 206.9 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

No 85.6% 114.94 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 32% 76.92 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 12% 48.62 shares