Polymarket Trader

Nich

0xcca3522a8dce4a0974d5215152d1fb25adc7b55c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.7
Realized PnL: $22.7
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.18K
Potential profit: $16.18K
User PnL: -$64.71

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $4.17K
User PnL: -$50

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $2.39K
User PnL: -$33.38

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $15.7
Potential payout: $241.53
Potential profit: $225.83
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$11.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.77
Potential profit: $155.77
User PnL: -$18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.75
Potential profit: $116.75
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.13
Potential profit: $88.13
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.06
Potential profit: $82.06
User PnL: -$9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.86
Potential profit: $64.86
User PnL: -$13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.65
Potential profit: $60.65
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.09
Potential profit: $59.09
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.97
Potential profit: $49.97
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.41
Potential profit: $44.41
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.2
Potential profit: $40.2
User PnL: -$7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.32
Potential profit: $38.32
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.14
Potential profit: $37.14
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.78
Potential profit: $26.78
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.43
Potential profit: $20.43
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.48

No position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.15

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$22.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Yes 9.2% 81.51 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 606.71 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Yes 5% 606.71 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Yes 12.5% 160.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?

No 35% 22.86 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?

No 35% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 68% 2.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Up 60% 8.34 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 21?

Yes 14.3% 35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 21?

Yes 24% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Up 7% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Up 15% 13.33 shares