Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $519.09
- Potential payout
- $9.98K
- Potential profit
- $9.46K
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$940.91
Polymarket Trader
Kellly045
0xccaad591e23c2d415eeb16d0fc5719c911e45c95
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $519.09
- Realized PnL
- $128.4
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.26K
- Potential profit
- $7.26K
- User PnL
- -$750
Yes position
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.98K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- User PnL
- -$89.99
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- User PnL
- -$681.77
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $889.71
- Potential profit
- $889.71
- User PnL
- -$146.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $676.34
- Potential profit
- $676.34
- User PnL
- -$39.97
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $630.84
- Potential profit
- $630.84
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.76
- Potential profit
- $61.76
- User PnL
- -$19.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.56
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.56
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 1.4% 714.29 shares
- Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 1.3% 767.44 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 3.2% 588.58 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 2.4% 42.26 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 16.4% 889.71 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?Yes 0.1% 444.44 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?Yes 0.1% 444.44 shares
- Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 1.3% 1,177.7 shares
- US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes 10.3% 7,260.31 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Yes 24.7% 2,765.76 shares
- Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 1.5% 1,032.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETDown 32% 61.76 shares