Y
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $3.7
Polymarket Trader
prediction199
0xccb3ae4f1e7e86beda4957b5f8958582b6bcc2e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $11.46
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
N
No position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.21
N
No position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $3.7
N
No position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.21
N
No position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.13
N
No position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.2
N
No position
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Communist" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Interfere" or "Interference" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Y
Yes position
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Speech to the Nation?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" this week?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in July?No 94.1% 10 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in July?No 85.1% 10 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?No 87.2% 10 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?No 81.5% 10 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?Yes 57% 10 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in July?No 98.6% 10 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?No 69.4% 10 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in July?No 82% 10 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?No 75.2% 10 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in July?No 98.5% 10 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes 21% 5 shares