Polymarket Trader

LeChamp

0xccc03bd4c558c34133de7fd7652208a877b732e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $816.06
Realized PnL: -$18.9
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $430.64
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $2.76K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$586.81

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$262.54

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$539.62

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$471

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$445.2

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $57.35
Potential payout: $882.35
Potential profit: $825
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$92.65

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $52
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $748
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$68

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $24.06
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $600.94
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$25.94

No position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $615.38
Potential profit: $615.38
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.44
Potential profit: $444.44
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.92
Potential profit: $404.92
User PnL: -$24.29

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $355.68
Potential profit: $355.68
User PnL: -$135.16

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $252
Potential payout: $252
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $55.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?

No 79% 100.56 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Yes 30% 368 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 15% 133.33 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 28% 1,000 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?

No 78% 352.56 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Yes 38% 723.68 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 8% 625 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 28% 1,189.29 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 15% 666.67 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 28% 4,382 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Yes 5.6% 1,275 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Yes 32% 690.63 shares