Polymarket Trader

freedompeople

0xccc0a7a978ddb32038ff40554f3f219c09e64537

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.51
Realized PnL: -$9.24
Win rate: 61.1%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $3.26
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $3.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $2.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Iran Nuke in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $2.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.59
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $1.38
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $1.04
User PnL: -$1

Sliwa position

Will Sliwa or Adams get more votes?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Netherlands win?

Ends Jul 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Google forced to sell Chrome?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Next French confidence vote passes?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Trump's face on the $250 bill before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.65

No position

Will Amy Klobuchar be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.15

No position

Will Tom Cotton win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.18

No position

Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) win Gold in Men's Tennis?

Ends Aug 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

No 99.8% 255 shares
Iran Nuke in 2025?

No 97.5% 2.05 shares
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?

Yes 77% 1.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

No 99.9% 258.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

No 99.8% 270.49 shares
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

No 99.9% 271.87 shares
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?

Yes 96% 10.42 shares
Will Sliwa or Adams get more votes?

Sliwa 96.9% 1.03 shares
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?

Yes 96% 1.04 shares
Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?

Yes 93% 2.15 shares
Next French confidence vote passes?

No 96% 1.04 shares
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?

No 95.9% 2.24 shares