No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Polymarket Trader
tamsin649reggie
0xccc1843207d55430904f7addcd8fd427fe87dd6f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.85
- Realized PnL
- $16.64
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.51x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp 50% 26 shares
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 2.2% 46.99 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96.7% 3 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 88.5% 44 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 7.4% 82 shares
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 98.3% 39 shares
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 98.3% 39 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96.6% 25 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.3% 37 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.3% 37 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.3% 2 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes 4.4% 36 shares