Polymarket Trader

skepticalkamui

0xccc73c9550dc96a96ef8cc2e794e7be28ea7749f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.61
Realized PnL: $33
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $3.37K
User PnL: -$13.18

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 3, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $611.25
Potential profit: $611.25
User PnL: -$104.73

Yes position

Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $557.58
Potential profit: $557.58
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.11
Potential profit: $416.11
User PnL: -$6.9

No position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287
Potential profit: $287
User PnL: -$8.04

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.44
Potential profit: $207.44
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.33
Potential profit: $201.33
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.29
Potential profit: $191.29
User PnL: -$12.94

Yes position

Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167
Potential profit: $167
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.42
Potential profit: $122.42
User PnL: -$6.56

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $101.25
Potential profit: $98.87
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.01
Potential profit: $99.01
User PnL: -$24.87

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $96.1
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $4.56
Potential payout: $93
Potential profit: $88.44
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.42
Potential profit: $39.42
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.62
Potential profit: $37.62
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.38

Yes position

Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.88

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 101.25 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 1.8% 96.77 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

No 2.8% 287 shares
Iran leadership change by March 13?

Yes 2.5% 119.86 shares
Iran leadership change by March 13?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 21% 47.9 shares
Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 0.4% 1,000 shares
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 0.6% 167 shares
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 0.2% 1,175 shares
GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?

Yes 5.7% 70.18 shares
GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?

Yes 4.9% 52.24 shares
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Yes 65% 9.88 shares