izowooi-naver

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $4.48K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $520
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $2.5K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $980
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.02K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.58K

No position

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $3.54K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $460
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $562.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.44K
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $79.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $322.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.68K
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $418.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.58K
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: $151.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $154.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.85K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$94.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $415.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.58K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$67.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $232.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$64.5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $160.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.84K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $180

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $989.99
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $394.23
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $28.85

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $15.89
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $301.98

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $950.78
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $292.07
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $6.21

Yes position

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $48.42
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $69.67

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $599.26
Potential payout: $609
Potential profit: $9.74
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $99.88

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $480.55
Potential payout: $500.57
Potential profit: $20.02
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $40.05

Yes position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.99
Potential profit: $249.99
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $90.27
Potential payout: $97.33
Potential profit: $7.06
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $87.77
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $3.23
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.42

Yes position

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $41.05
Potential payout: $55.1
Potential profit: $14.05
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.56
Potential payout: $11.29
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $791.42

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.54

Yes position

Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.85

Yes position

Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.43

Yes position

Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.95

Yes position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.57

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $49.08

Yes position

Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.36

Yes position

Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.14

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $3.55

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 92.3%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Implied probability: 93.3%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?