No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $423.85
- Potential payout
- $429
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $23.84
Polymarket Trader
0xcce8b0298325F9ad254cadaB211B3279eC4C4197-1769282607927
0xcce8b0298325f9ad254cadab211b3279ec4c4197
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.25K
- Realized PnL
- $2.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Current value
- $72.09
- Potential payout
- $413.34
- Potential profit
- $341.25
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- -$27.91
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $322.47
- Potential payout
- $400.59
- Potential profit
- $78.11
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $22.47
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $51.79
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $305.36
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Current value
- $35.17
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $134.32
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- $15.17
No position
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $54.43
- Potential payout
- $139.56
- Potential profit
- $85.13
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$45.57
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $103.45
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $11.49
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $103.98
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $9.66
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.98
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $23.18
- Potential payout
- $101.01
- Potential profit
- $77.83
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
James Comey arrested by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.63
- Potential profit
- $74.63
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $55.06
- Potential payout
- $67.57
- Potential profit
- $12.51
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.29
- Potential profit
- $10.29
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.56
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.79
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.26
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.21
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.88
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $68.59
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.26
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.56
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.56
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $32.61
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.43
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $30.85
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.67
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.52
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.25
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.12
No position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.21
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 88% 113.64 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 23.8% 210.08 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 62.8% 110.13 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 14% 244.14 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 24.6% 203.25 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 67.57 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.8% 139.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 71% 140.85 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 169.49 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.3% 69.93 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.8% 101.01 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.3% 69.93 shares