Y
Yes position
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $7.08
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $192.92
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Polymarket Trader
ScottsRoad
0xcceb22d524e186153cffe79f13c0aeb75889f030
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.11K
- Realized PnL
- $972.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $98.35
- Potential payout
- $150.16
- Potential profit
- $51.81
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.26
No position
Will Oscar Bobb score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $49.78
- Potential payout
- $119.94
- Potential profit
- $70.17
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$42.18
N
No position
Will South Korea finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $61.81
- Potential payout
- $117.74
- Potential profit
- $55.92
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $7.28
No position
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $111.57
- Potential payout
- $112.87
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.44
Yes position
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.4
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$8.4
No position
Will USD be less than 1.5M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.3%
- Current value
- $72.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $27.75
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$13.65
No position
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $61.31
- Potential payout
- $92.19
- Potential profit
- $30.88
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $22.59
No position
Will Alphonso Davies score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $64.62
- Potential payout
- $91.67
- Potential profit
- $27.04
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$5.04
N
No position
Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $73.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $6.8
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $19.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $60.8
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $24.4
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $55.6
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $44.4
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $35.6
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Julio Rodriguez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $79.48
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $69.6
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $10.4
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $43.2
N
No position
Will Japan finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $72.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
N
No position
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $54.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $25.2
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $79.96
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $11.16
Yes position
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $76.6
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Y
Yes position
Will Ecuador finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $9.6
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $70.4
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will KB Home (KBH) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $38.4
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $41.6
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$26.4
Yes position
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $75.64
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $3.32
Y
Yes position
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $14.4
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $65.6
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) win the most gubernatorial elections in Bolivia in 2026?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.8
Yes position
Will Microsoft dip to $428 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.4
Yes position
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.2
Yes position
Will Apple reach $300 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.4
No position
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
North Korea missile test before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.5
No position
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.2
Yes position
Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
Yes position
Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.01
No position
Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.56
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.5
Yes position
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.35
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.98
Yes position
Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $41,500 (HIGH) by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.83
Yes position
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will SV Elversberg achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.29
Yes position
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.51
Yes position
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?
Ends Mar 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.5
No position
Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Will Opendoor reach $9 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.57
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.26
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No 67.5% 50 shares
- Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Yes 3% 83.74 shares
- Will Uruguay finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No 51% 2.93 shares
- Will Sweden be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 40% 4.89 shares
- Will Ecuador be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes 43% 23.32 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be between 500.0k and 550.0k on June 30?Yes 7% 40 shares
- Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Yes 35.6% 80 shares
- Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 76% 40 shares
- Will Leon Goretzka join Chicago Fire?No 77% 20 shares
- Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June?Yes 4% 44.2 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 7% 50 shares
- Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 75% 20 shares