Polymarket Trader

0xccEF820b23ab4C67A9a2521C5fc85A0E3e65e7DC-1761678618976

0xccef820b23ab4c67a9a2521c5fc85a0e3e65e7dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.46
Realized PnL: $59.02
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $29.16
Potential payout: $845.24
Potential profit: $816.08
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $9.16

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $829.58
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $24.62
Potential payout: $196.97
Potential profit: $172.35
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$25.38

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.38
Potential profit: $64.38
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.73
Potential profit: $46.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $20.19
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $18.27
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

49ers position

49ers vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Erika Kirk attend Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $17.84
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$0.65

Bears position

Rams vs. Bears

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $4.12
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $4.35
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.74
Multiplier: 4.66x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.48
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

NE position

Big Game: First Team To Score

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.59
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Broncos position

Bills vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.01

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Will Sam Altman attend Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Divisional Round?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from any Other state?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Texans position

Texans vs. Patriots

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Yes 18.4% 5.43 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 22% 136.36 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 60% 8.33 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 33% 60.61 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 38.46 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 428.57 shares
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Yes 26% 38.46 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 64% 7.81 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 59% 33.9 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 416.67 shares