Polymarket Trader

pol260527

0xccfc3537c455b3e044ea9239a37698a76664678e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $58.5
Realized PnL: $805.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.43
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $41.19
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$3.57

No position

Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $45.97
Potential profit: $43.33
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $44.01
Potential profit: $43.13
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$9.07

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $34.71
Potential profit: $32.28
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$7.29

No position

Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $17.58
Potential payout: $30.85
Potential profit: $13.27
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $7.62

No position

Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $25B and $28B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $19.96
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$9.67

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $9.41
Potential payout: $16.08
Potential profit: $6.67
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $8.38
Potential payout: $14.97
Potential profit: $6.59
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $8.73
Potential payout: $9.98
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $3.34
Potential profit: $1.44
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.4

No position

Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.77

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.5

No position

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.46

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.88

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.71

Over position

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5

Under 1% 106 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5

Under 1% 101 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5

Under 1% 106 shares
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $25B and $28B at market close on IPO day?

No 49% 19.96 shares
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5

Under 1% 179.3 shares
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5

Under 1% 753 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5

Under 8% 13.38 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5

Under 8% 28.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Yes 79.6% 10.89 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Over 53% 9.43 shares
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 26% 19.23 shares