Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $625.2
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $719.32
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$275.63
Polymarket Trader
SoftFlame05
0xcd0dcf03cd687a904a7dbcf01b42d37995bc7ec8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.3K
- Realized PnL
- $27.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.3%
- Current value
- $580.93
- Potential payout
- $705.87
- Potential profit
- $124.94
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$19.06
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Current value
- $93.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $406.5
- Multiplier
- 5.35x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11K
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01K
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
No position
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.04
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $449.99
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.44
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.33
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.47
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.2
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.92
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $166.82
Yes position
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.5
Yes position
Will the Patek Index hit $104,000 (LOW) by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.13
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $156.5
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.58x
- User PnL
- $107.92
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.84
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $37.09
No position
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $16.28
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 85% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 68% 15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 68% 727.74 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 67% 597.01 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 40% 1,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 20.1% 500 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?No 0.4% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 62.6% 319.65 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?No 20% 200 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.7% 1,358.39 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 60% 408.91 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 67% 447.76 shares