Polymarket Trader

hinis

0xcd200a7f40a04c270eb679a0ea785d22e7b26159

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $435.87
Realized PnL: $208.74
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 16, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $31.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$5.75

No position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $34.5
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30.5
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $34.25
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$19.75

No position

Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $29.75
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $17.24
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $32.76
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$3.26

No position

Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Ends Nov 5, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $19.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30.75
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$5.75

No position

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $45.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$40.5

No position

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $17.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $32.25
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will "Jackass: Best and Last" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.75
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$31.75

Yes position

Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 16, 2027

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $31.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.75
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$5.25

No position

Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $26.5
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $16.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $33.25
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $25.25
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$4.25

No position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $41.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $38.5
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$31.5

No position

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.48
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.78
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: -$1.08

No position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $34
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$19

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $18.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $31.25
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Progressistas (PP) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $49.57
Potential profit: $44.07
Multiplier: 9.01x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $26.88
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $16.13
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$1.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.74

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.66

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.57

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.25

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $6.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?

No 6% 20 shares
Will Joe Reagan be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?

Yes 6% 20 shares
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?

No 5.1% 20 shares
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4900+ by June 30?

Yes 1% 50 shares
Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?

No 1.5% 20 shares
Will LI.FI launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 20 shares
Will Alien arrests in New York hit 5000+ by June 30?

Yes 0.4% 30 shares
Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?

Yes 41% 1 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83% 4.78 shares
FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

No 24% 50 shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?

Yes 19% 10 shares
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 17% 50 shares