No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $958.24
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $100.59
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $58.24
Polymarket Trader
0xCD374032cA63bBcD68577a828CFb785BBdfb5CE9-1768762489494
0xcd374032ca63bbcd68577a828cfb785bbdfb5ce9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.95K
- Realized PnL
- $212.2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $84
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $716
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$116
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $440.97
- Potential payout
- $456.01
- Potential profit
- $15.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $40.97
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.8%
- Current value
- $202.78
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $167.59
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $2.78
Yes position
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $99.81
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $270.56
- Multiplier
- 3.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $211.58
- Potential payout
- $231.24
- Potential profit
- $19.66
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11.58
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $224.14
- Potential payout
- $229.89
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $24.14
Cavaliers position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $227.27
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $69.23
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $84.62
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$30.77
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $104.86
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $34.03
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $4.86
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $128.36
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $28.36
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $114.94
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $7.01
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $113.64
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $108.21
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- User PnL
- $8.21
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $81.01
- Potential payout
- $81.66
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- User PnL
- $10.78
No position
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $69.82
- Potential payout
- $70.42
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $19.82
No position
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.74
- Potential profit
- $68.74
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $52.24
- Potential payout
- $64.1
- Potential profit
- $11.87
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Real Madrid position
Valencia vs. Real Madrid
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.59
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.93
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.97
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.06
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.39
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.14
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Patriots position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 76% 131.58 shares
- Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 27% 370.37 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 54% 370.37 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 64% 312.5 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 91% 219.78 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 68% 294.12 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 65% 153.85 shares
- Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 25% 400 shares
- Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 29% 344.83 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 72% 138.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp 78% 128.21 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No 91.8% 217.88 shares