Polymarket Trader

lampo

0xcd5c5f3470de3379146308823445b40431b8f0a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.57K
Realized PnL: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.79K
Potential profit: $26.79K
User PnL: -$220.16

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $794.91
Potential profit: $794.91
User PnL: -$650

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $718.08
Potential profit: $718.08
User PnL: -$204.37

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $586.18
Potential payout: $702.02
Potential profit: $115.83
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $24.18

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $440.34
Potential payout: $515.02
Potential profit: $74.68
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $40.34

No position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $310.17
Potential payout: $508.47
Potential profit: $198.31
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $10.17

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.07
Potential profit: $333.07
User PnL: -$19.98

No position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $184.5
Potential payout: $326.61
Potential profit: $142.11
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$7.17

Down position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.23
Potential profit: $255.23
User PnL: -$85.84

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.41
Potential profit: $220.41
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.17
Potential profit: $161.17
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $150.12
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$1.63

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.64
Potential profit: $104.64
User PnL: -$19.88

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$2

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.76
Potential profit: $61.76
User PnL: -$19.76

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.76
Potential profit: $61.76
User PnL: -$19.76

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$50

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $39.85
Potential payout: $52.43
Potential profit: $12.58
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.54
Potential profit: $51.54
User PnL: -$39.69

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.66
Potential profit: $45.66
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.34
Potential profit: $38.34
User PnL: -$4.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.71

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.71

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.25

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.14

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.55

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.69

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.88

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.67

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.13

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.94

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.96

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.2

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.36

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.86

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.2% 179.99 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 82.8% 483.09 shares
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

No 58.7% 326.61 shares
Kash Patel out by December 31?

No 59% 508.47 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 55.4% 77.65 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 64% 68.49 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 74.5% 41.62 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 22.1% 120 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 22.1% 25.21 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 74% 10.81 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 73% 68.49 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 48% 104.17 shares