Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Current value
- $122.95
- Potential payout
- $670
- Potential profit
- $547.06
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- $21.77
Polymarket Trader
ukk0708
0xcd65eb480a01352f49c25f76bb39b6016e08136b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.12K
- Realized PnL
- $355.72
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $158.88
- Potential payout
- $529.61
- Potential profit
- $370.73
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $231.4
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $288.6
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $29.5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $149
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $159.48
- Potential payout
- $170.12
- Potential profit
- $10.63
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.48
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $146.64
- Potential payout
- $156.92
- Potential profit
- $10.28
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.58
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $103.2
- Potential payout
- $109.5
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $15.6
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $45.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.18
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $31.07
Yes position
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.59
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.86
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.26
Yes position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
No position
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 94.2% 40.5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 71% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 39% 200 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.2% 59.77 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.7% 58.03 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 94.2% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 39% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 28% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 39% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 26% 70.38 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 25% 152.52 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 38% 50 shares