aYolo

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $31.48
Potential payout: $370.38
Potential profit: $338.9
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$13.52

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $313.82
Potential profit: $313.82
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.61
Potential profit: $187.61
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.4
Potential profit: $150.4
User PnL: -$20.55

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $92.6
Potential payout: $125.99
Potential profit: $33.39
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $20.63
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $104.38
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.86
Potential profit: $120.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.74
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $100.53
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$35.26

Yes position

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.67
Potential profit: $93.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $13.33
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $70
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$6.67

Pimblett position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $16.62
Potential payout: $73.87
Potential profit: $57.25
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$10.38

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $67.57
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.5
Potential profit: $65.5
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $15.32
Potential payout: $61.29
Potential profit: $45.97
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$29.68

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.53
Potential profit: $50.53
User PnL: -$20

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.96
Potential profit: $49.96
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.88
Potential profit: $48.88
User PnL: -$19.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

GPT ads by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.5

Gaethje position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.54

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.6

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.58

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.42

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.78

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.75

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.71

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.73

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.62

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.27

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.92

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.27

Volkanovski position

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.18

Down position

XRP Up or Down - March 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.37

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.07

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET