Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $313.54K
- Potential payout
- $314.01K
- Potential profit
- $471.01
- User PnL
- $83.63K
Polymarket Trader
Kevindoto
0xcd71fd5370880f3d92bb941e628c05840fe0d127
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $580.61K
- Realized PnL
- $520.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $70.8K
- Potential payout
- $80K
- Potential profit
- $9.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $13.73K
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $50K
- Potential payout
- $56.5K
- Potential profit
- $6.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $7.56K
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $14.12K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $10.88K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$2K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $13.25K
- Potential payout
- $17.43K
- Potential profit
- $4.18K
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$309.59
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $7.62K
- Potential payout
- $16.38K
- Potential profit
- $8.76K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$215.73
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $12.57K
- Potential payout
- $15.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$225.72
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $5.63K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $9.38K
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.77K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.99K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- $8.84K
No position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $12.09K
- Potential payout
- $12.27K
- Potential profit
- $177.91
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $11.01K
- Potential payout
- $11.19K
- Potential profit
- $178.99
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $408.37
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $9.33K
- Potential payout
- $10.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $9.93K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- $260
No position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $8.89K
- Potential payout
- $9.32K
- Potential profit
- $433.43
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $9.13K
- Potential payout
- $9.27K
- Potential profit
- $139.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $7.55K
- Potential payout
- $7.62K
- Potential profit
- $64.73
- User PnL
- $229.98
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.89K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $110
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $540
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $3.33K
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $54.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $645.27
No position
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $46.31
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $158.54
No position
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $725.78
- Potential payout
- $763.98
- Potential profit
- $38.2
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.2%
- Current value
- $162.24
- Potential payout
- $274.29
- Potential profit
- $112.05
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $29.84
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.52K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.35K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.97K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.91K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.51K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.79K
Yes position
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.29K
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.24K
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.08K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.29K
No position
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.75K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.63K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.63K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.43K
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.51K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.28K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.39K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.34K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.17K
No position
Will Biden pardon Trump?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.55K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.48K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.43K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $9.21K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 47% 248.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 97% 4,358.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 96% 8,230.46 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.1% 6,643.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 92.7% 116.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 93.2% 2,086.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 93.3% 5,075.55 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 95% 2,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.4% 21,205.7 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.4% 4,742.28 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.3% 10,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.5% 10,000 shares