No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $35.08
- Potential payout
- $217.22
- Potential profit
- $182.14
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$72.67
Polymarket Trader
ts141
0xcd7649ee1798f6fac7d2688bddab19eb7bc877bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.6K
- Realized PnL
- $3.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $192.21
- Potential payout
- $215
- Potential profit
- $22.79
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$8.05
No position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $15.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $184.9
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- -$130.4
No position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $39.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $160.3
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$48.9
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $174
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$19
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$118.9
No position
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $94
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $106
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $176.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $23.4
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $14.84
No position
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $175
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$37
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $138.98
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $61.02
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $30.98
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.4%
- Current value
- $32.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $167.2
- Multiplier
- 6.10x
- User PnL
- -$29.3
No position
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $60
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $140
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$30.4
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.6%
- Current value
- $123.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $76.8
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- -$15.3
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$36.8
No position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $29.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $170.1
- Multiplier
- 6.69x
- User PnL
- -$130.3
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $145
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $55
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.1%
- Current value
- $164.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $35.8
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$172
No position
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$78.94
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$63
No position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $55
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $145
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$91
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.9%
- Current value
- $135.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $64.2
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $73
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $127
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$68.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $615
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.31
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $185.18
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.3
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.51
No position
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.79
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.59
No position
Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.13
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.35
No position
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.98
No position
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.17
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $125.35
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.37
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.4
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.93
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.39
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.75
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.53
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.71
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.66
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?No 68% 7.35 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursSpurs 68% 55 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursSpurs 68% 33 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursSpurs 68% 15 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 89.8% 5 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 89.7% 5 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 89.7% 5 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 96.2% 1.04 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 96.2% 1.04 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 96.3% 1.04 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 96.3% 1.04 shares
- Knicks vs. SpursSpurs 68% 5 shares