Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $20.35
- Potential payout
- $478.83
- Potential profit
- $458.48
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $1.23
Polymarket Trader
Martespera1
0xcd818c58b4673b37941c75f7345b88072187bb2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $226.5
- Realized PnL
- -$64.44
- Win rate
- 52.6%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $227.7
- Potential profit
- $218.25
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $131.73
- Potential payout
- $132.39
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $28.01
- Potential payout
- $31.48
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $13.47
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $14.31
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $18.29
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $14.58
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $6.77
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $8.62
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Yes position
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.75
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $5.86
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.54
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.57
No position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.22
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.67
Yes position
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Multiplier
- 13.70x
- User PnL
- -$7.12
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.27
Yes position
Will Solana reach $130 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.46
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.9
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes 4% 478.83 shares
- Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 4.1% 314.56 shares
- Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?No 97.7% 32 shares
- Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?No 88% 20 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Yes 26% 51.36 shares
- Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?No 99.3% 40 shares
- Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?No 98.2% 50.1 shares
- Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?No 87.1% 11.48 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Yes 19.5% 51.37 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 30% 16.67 shares
- Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 64% 7.81 shares
- Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 19% 26.32 shares