Polymarket Trader

hualo

0xcd8cae51f8b4f46acb1d3572e2a913a8b61aa4a8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.61
Realized PnL: $383.36
Win rate: 69.2%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $18.61
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.39
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.5

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.63

Yes position

Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.89

Yes position

Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 46%
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.42

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.09

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$86.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 96.9% 20 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

No 75% 2,040 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

No 75% 1,783.31 shares
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 98.1% 1,202 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 44% 4.55 shares
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

No 92.6% 1,203.63 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 99.7% 1,112.11 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 99.9% 1,112.11 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

No 84.7% 1,206.29 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

No 91.9% 1,206.3 shares
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Yes 1% 157.89 shares
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

No 98.8% 208.54 shares