Polymarket Trader

Ignacio06

0xcdaf8397c8261e23f5ff18cde78441e39258eff6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.51K
Realized PnL: $5.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $944.14
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $15.11

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $498.74
Potential payout: $749.99
Potential profit: $251.25
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $32.02

Yes position

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $312.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $187.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $9.09

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $496
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: $136

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $227.49
Potential payout: $499.97
Potential profit: $272.49
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$29.14

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$26.3

Yes position

Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $8.48
Potential payout: $113.88
Potential profit: $105.4
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$44.93

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.6%
Current value: $24.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $75.45
Multiplier: 4.07x
User PnL: -$19.55

Yes position

Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$18.15

Yes position

Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $863.34

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $403.51

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.54

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.25

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.86

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.69

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.13

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $247.69

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.5

Yes position

Will Franco Parisi come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.63

Yes position

Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.83

No position

Will Samuel Doria Medina qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.25

Yes position

Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.13

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $175.23

Yes position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.45

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.5

Yes position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.26

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.26

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.51

Yes position

Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.5

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.46

No position

Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.35

Yes position

Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.12

No position

Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Yes 46% 20 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 98.7% 450 shares
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 98.3% 50.86 shares
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Yes 45% 5 shares
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Yes 46% 28 shares
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Yes 4.4% 200 shares
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Yes 1.8% 180 shares
Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Yes 1.2% 500 shares
Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Yes 0.8% 300 shares
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Yes 46% 100 shares
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Yes 46% 55 shares
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Yes 46.1% 110 shares