Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $362.26
- Potential profit
- $357.01
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$186.75
Polymarket Trader
SarumanTheFool
0xcdb894bb92c20c2baf0d291507ebf0be70149206
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.21
- Realized PnL
- $594.94
- Win rate
- 84.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $26.37
- Potential payout
- $94.17
- Potential profit
- $67.8
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$37.56
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $20.59
- Potential payout
- $54.55
- Potential profit
- $33.95
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$9.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Royal Challengers Bengaluru position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.18
Yes position
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.64
Yes position
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.05
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.62
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.61
Yes position
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.2
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $37.59
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.22
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.56
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.46
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.75
Yes position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Mumbai Indians position
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Gujarat Titans position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 73% 289.85 shares
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes 87.8% 405.4 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 78% 76.92 shares
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes 74% 405.41 shares
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes 99% 223.88 shares
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes 67% 223.88 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 20% 150 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira 50% 200 shares
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat TitansGujarat Titans 12% 108.33 shares
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat TitansRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 53% 188.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 66% 298.5 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 69% 289.86 shares