Polymarket Trader

User69696969

0xcdbc6babda50a17ea66db4ec58e6bd94d719cb61

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.54K
Realized PnL: $19.02
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $1.4K
Potential payout: $6.08K
Potential profit: $4.68K
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: $66.27

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $74.71
Potential payout: $3.49K
Potential profit: $3.42K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$25.29

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $639.87
Potential payout: $3.12K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$7.55

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $2.24K
User PnL: -$1.73K

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.8K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $201
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $544.77

Yes position

Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $704.74
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $479.7
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$69.6

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: $387.47

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $461.17
Potential payout: $789
Potential profit: $327.83
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$41.42

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $168.17
Potential payout: $436.79
Potential profit: $268.63
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $10.87

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.4%
Current value: $158.97
Potential payout: $309.28
Potential profit: $150.31
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: $38.97

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.12
Potential profit: $272.12
User PnL: -$90.52

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $8.06
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $196.02
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$11.94

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.13
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $17.76
Potential profit: $13.23
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $5.99
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.52
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ends Oct 17, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $2.21
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.05

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 25% 17.76 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 20.7% 3,121.32 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 21% 4,231.66 shares
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 2.9% 3,491.14 shares
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Yes 0.5% 7.19 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 25.2% 4.01 shares
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Yes 77% 180 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 33% 173.64 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 46% 408.7 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 93.3% 1.07 shares
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

Yes 79% 1.27 shares
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares