Polymarket Trader

weatherJohn

0xcdbc708656ef6aabe195eddd89d3cc89294cbd73

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $197.82
Realized PnL: $827.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $24.82
Potential payout: $112.83
Potential profit: $88.01
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $11.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $8.34
Potential payout: $26.49
Potential profit: $18.15
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$5.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $24.13
Potential profit: $23.84
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$13.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $14.32
Potential payout: $23.47
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $13.49
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $9.77
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.64
Potential profit: $22.64
User PnL: -$14.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $13.54
Potential payout: $22.19
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 70.3%
Current value: $15.12
Potential payout: $21.52
Potential profit: $6.4
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $19.82
Potential payout: $20.07
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $15.02
Potential payout: $20.03
Potential profit: $5.01
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.8
Potential payout: $19.8
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.8
Potential payout: $19.8
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $19.04
Potential profit: $14.75
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $14.66
Potential payout: $15.69
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $14.52
Potential payout: $14.88
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 20?

No 58% 23.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 20?

No 71% 20.07 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?

No 72% 14.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?

No 68% 0.36 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 19?

No 59% 24.12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?

No 93.7% 14.94 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?

No 65.2% 10.76 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 19?

No 64% 21.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?

No 88% 15.57 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?

No 61% 22.48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?

No 71% 19.3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 18?

Yes 18% 0.65 shares