Yes position
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.96K
- Potential profit
- $22.96K
- User PnL
- -$73.4
Polymarket Trader
FrankyFourFingers
0xcdbfdac42aeac5837d105e255c1131e7bf751926
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.18
- Realized PnL
- $17.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.74K
- Potential profit
- $22.74K
- User PnL
- -$22.74
Yes position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.72K
- Potential profit
- $19.72K
- User PnL
- -$181.07
Yes position
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.87K
- Potential profit
- $17.87K
- User PnL
- -$86.35
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.93K
- Potential profit
- $16.93K
- User PnL
- -$119.63
Yes position
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.97K
- Potential profit
- $13.97K
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
Yes position
Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.77K
- Potential profit
- $8.77K
- User PnL
- -$18.52
Yes position
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.7K
- Potential profit
- $8.7K
- User PnL
- -$328.56
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.52K
- Potential profit
- $8.52K
- User PnL
- -$33.45
Yes position
Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.39K
- Potential profit
- $7.39K
- User PnL
- -$402.21
Yes position
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.88K
- Potential profit
- $4.88K
- User PnL
- -$31.07
Yes position
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.81K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- User PnL
- -$21.66
Yes position
Will Eva Copa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- User PnL
- -$49.78
Yes position
Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.43K
- Potential profit
- $4.43K
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.23K
- Potential profit
- $4.23K
- User PnL
- -$19.7
Yes position
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- User PnL
- -$778.07
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- User PnL
- -$124.41
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.96K
- Potential profit
- $3.96K
- User PnL
- -$53.22
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $61.18
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$29.6
Yes position
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- User PnL
- -$19.87
Yes position
Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- User PnL
- -$18.63
Yes position
Will Japan win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.49K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- User PnL
- -$35.82
Yes position
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.48K
- Potential profit
- $3.48K
- User PnL
- -$50.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
Will Carney government pass a confidence vote before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $906.84
Yes position
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $889.7
Yes position
Will the New Democratic Party win the Nunavut seat in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $808.21
Yes position
Baldoni x Lively lawsuit dismissed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $787.54
No position
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $767.17
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.56
Yes position
Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $728.41
No position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $717.77
No position
Will Trump say "fake news" on The Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.32
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $679.2
No position
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650.05
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $638.04
Yes position
US military action on Yemen before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.21
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $578.15
Yes position
Will Democrats win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.44
Yes position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.28
No position
Will MGM Resorts International (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.04
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.97
No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.39
No position
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $519.92
Yes position
US-EU trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $514.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?Yes 48% 100.34 shares
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No 42% 104.97 shares
- Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?No 9.7% 2,114 shares
- Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?No 9.5% 354.91 shares
- Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?Yes 11.9% 348.05 shares
- Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?Yes 10% 195 shares
- Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?No 14% 450.5 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 95.7% 142.82 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 94.3% 232.17 shares
- Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes 14.4% 12.4 shares
- Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?No 11% 112.82 shares
- Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?Yes 10.6% 280 shares