Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.7
- Potential profit
- $39.7
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0xcdE7A1bDE058eb8C7043EF4Ece7175CdfFA5A1E4-1754926460841
0xcde7a1bde058eb8c7043ef4ece7175cdffa5a1e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.9
- Realized PnL
- $16.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $25.9
- Potential payout
- $34.53
- Potential profit
- $8.63
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $14.08
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 57.9% 34.53 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No 74% 13.51 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No 86% 17.44 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes 52% 38.46 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No 80% 25 shares
- Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?No 63.9% 15.64 shares
- Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?No 71% 14.08 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Yes 25.2% 39.7 shares