No position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.1%
- Current value
- $70.87
- Potential payout
- $131
- Potential profit
- $60.13
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $36.94
Polymarket Trader
DorothyThompson4970
0xcde972c2f6c1c89cc9e336783d85fbb288e0d705
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $72.72
- Realized PnL
- $2.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $86
- User PnL
- -$12.04
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.15
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- $413.35
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 11, 8PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 10PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.03
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.21
Yes position
Will Ben Stiller - Severance win Best Director for a Dramatic Series at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $134.37
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.19
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.55
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.7
No position
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $90.64
Yes position
Will Trump say "Japan" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.5
Yes position
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.42x
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.99
No position
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $57.98
No position
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $55.65
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.76
Yes position
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.62
Yes position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.36
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.74
No position
Will coffeexcoin win the competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.16
No position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.84
Yes position
Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 86% 831 shares
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?No 76% 863 shares
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?No 76% 103 shares
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 88% 831 shares
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?No 75% 966 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?Yes 5% 62 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?No 84% 752 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?No 84% 483 shares
- Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 25.9% 131 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?No 84% 1,235 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 88% 616 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 89% 616 shares