Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
sdw
0xcded52b4caa9338fa2c2dd722912e90737eb613d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.31
- Realized PnL
- $24.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.08
- Potential profit
- $23.08
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $7.31
- Potential payout
- $15.73
- Potential profit
- $8.42
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$6.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the match be a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
Yes position
Will Austria win?
Ends Jun 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will Spain Win?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,500 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Solana above $130 on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Solana reach $190 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Celtics position
Magic vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Solana hit $275 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
2024 June hottest on record?
Ends Jul 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2400 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Trump sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Jul 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will FARTCOIN be listed on Hyperliquid this week?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 89% 15.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?No 93% 24.64 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 95% 2.74 shares
- Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 6?Yes 99.5% 11.06 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?Yes 94.9% 4.21 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6?Yes 99% 5.05 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes 97% 18.56 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 14?Yes 99% 4.04 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes 25% 24 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 92% 6.52 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down on July 14?Down 8% 25 shares
- Yoon in jail before July?No 99.2% 3.02 shares