Polymarket Trader

ovvvwf

0xcdfdb699776138fa2e6ad89442cb486bd31d8b51

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.75K
Realized PnL: $4.67K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $2.32K
User PnL: -$102.6

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$82.94

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$174

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $160.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $839.5
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $54.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $901
Potential profit: $901
User PnL: -$105.71

Yes position

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.7%
Current value: $528.3
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $371.7
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $322.19

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $165.15
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $734.85
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $58.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $699.99
User PnL: -$114.92

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $561
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $559.98
Potential profit: $559.98
User PnL: -$44.83

Yes position

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.9%
Current value: $149.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $350.5
Multiplier: 3.34x
User PnL: $8.53

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $417.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$96.89

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$108.4

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$88

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$87

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $104.2
Potential payout: $282.01
Potential profit: $177.81
Multiplier: 2.71x
User PnL: $49.77

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$64

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.82
Potential profit: $74.82
User PnL: -$62.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.64
Potential profit: $2.64
User PnL: -$0.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Israel strikes Syria by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.59

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212

No position

NBA: SGA Award Parlay

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.87

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.01

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.9

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.4

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61

No position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.7

Yes position

Israel strike on Iran on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.81

No position

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Dome" during his 4th of July remarks?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 30% 200 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 19.3% 282.01 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 27.1% 400 shares
NBA: SGA Award Parlay

No 60.6% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Yes 16.9% 165 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Yes 16.6% 300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Yes 15.7% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Yes 15.6% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Yes 6.3% 872.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Yes 13.5% 542.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Yes 13.1% 129.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Yes 13% 171.15 shares