Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $862.82
- Potential payout
- $15.83K
- Potential profit
- $14.97K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $443.32
Polymarket Trader
0xcE06b96C7A09524EFd28265B57c9FDbFA9a29A1e-1730086978225
0xce06b96c7a09524efd28265b57c9fdbfa9a29a1e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.02K
- Realized PnL
- $7.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $332.82
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $516.25
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $101.46
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $45.6
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.71
- Potential profit
- $113.71
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.72
Yes position
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.98
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.45
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.86
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.83
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.56
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.66
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.43
Yes position
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.26
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.78
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.24
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.42
No position
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.39
Yes position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
Murphy position
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.78
Yes position
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.02
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.11
Yes position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.61
No position
Will Donald Trump disparage Vladimir Putin on Friday?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes 68% 147.06 shares
- Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes 0.9% 113.71 shares
- Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 10–20%?Yes 15% 333.33 shares
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 29% 344.83 shares
- Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes 72% 138.89 shares
- Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Yes 37.7% 530.98 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No 4.2% 867.98 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 16% 625 shares
- Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?Yes 11.6% 246.68 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No 67.6% 739.23 shares
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes 45.9% 653.93 shares
- Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?No 28.6% 56.7 shares