Polymarket Trader

0xce10...3e2b

0xce10f87277f03cc2a517220ae7d3f727dde83e2b

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $526.87
Realized PnL: $60.07
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 51.8%
Current value: $133.26
Potential payout: $257.26
Potential profit: $124
Multiplier: 1.93x
User PnL: -$19.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 48.2%
Current value: $102.62
Potential payout: $212.9
Potential profit: $110.28
Multiplier: 2.07x
User PnL: $28.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $55
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $49.22
Potential payout: $81.35
Potential profit: $32.13
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $20.03

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $57.05
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $27.76
Potential payout: $58.44
Potential profit: $30.68
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $21.73
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $33.28
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$10.57

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $36.22
Potential payout: $52.5
Potential profit: $16.28
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $5.19

No position

Will White House post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $50.99
Potential profit: $49.82
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.78
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$14.28

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $30.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $19.75
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $40.25
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $7.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $32.4
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $33.25
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$12.95

No position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $18.8
Potential payout: $26.48
Potential profit: $7.68
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $24.51
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.85
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $4.87
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $2.09
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.57

No position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$12.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will White House post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 5% 99 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 6% 15 shares
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 42% 50 shares