kimchiboy

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $3.63K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $372.43
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $58.14

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $226.42
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $51.15

No position

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Implied probability: 86.9%
Current value: $984.97
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $149.13
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $22.16

T1 position

Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $628.86
Potential profit: $628.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$127.33

No position

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $565.85
Potential payout: $616.39
Potential profit: $50.54
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $21.06

Team Liquid position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $235.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $64.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $4.5

Team Liquid position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $233.01
Potential payout: $233.12
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $33.01

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.95
Potential profit: $145.95
User PnL: -$52.5

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.66
Potential profit: $110.66
User PnL: -$0.66

T1 position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Hanwha Life Esports position

Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $65.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $34.5
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $5.5

Dplus KIA position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$50.3

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$9.5

KT Rolster position

Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10.7

Team Liquid position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $28.75
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.25

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$30.99

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$1.6

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$18.3

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$5

Aiemann Zahabi position

UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.99

Nongshim Red Force position

Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.16

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.85

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.36

T1 position

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.22

No position

Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.6

Yes position

Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 5000 on the final trading day of Q1 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.41

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.6

HANJIN BRION position

Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

KT Rolster position

Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

KT Rolster position

Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 7PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET