No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $413.93
- Potential payout
- $595.66
- Potential profit
- $181.74
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $27.25
Polymarket Trader
GTobias
0xce28a19578d8f5e2164a2d0b25b6832812c251bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $413.93
- Realized PnL
- $773.34
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $691.25
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Hawks
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.96
76ers position
76ers vs. Mavericks
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.79
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Pacers
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.5
Under position
Lakers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.7
Over position
Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.18
Timberwolves position
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.94
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.48
Under position
Lakers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 120.5
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.75
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.41
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Kings
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
FC Barcelona position
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Paris Saint-Germain FC position
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.19
Yes position
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14.23
Atalanta BC position
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.04
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Spurs
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.58
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$55.63
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$58.17
Celtics position
Nuggets vs. Celtics
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$101.13
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$135.79
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$504.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No 64.8% 297.88 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No 65% 297.78 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 99.6% 2,416.94 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 71% 2,416.94 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 36.7% 2,098.17 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 40% 2,242.06 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 42.6% 894.9 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 42% 908.64 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 43% 1,333.42 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 42.9% 1,336.61 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?Yes 60.1% 821.45 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?Yes 57.6% 821.45 shares