0n5zs6pqlz1d

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 90.1%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $4.82
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 49.8%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $4.05
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 2.01x
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $3.41
Potential payout: $3.59
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $2.97
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $2.85
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 79.9%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $1.94
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 87.3%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $1.7
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Remote IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $1.51
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $1.44
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 15, 1AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.75

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.95

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 14, 8PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.57

Over position

Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

MOUZ position

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.26

Clippers position

Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.13

Maple Leafs position

Ducks vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.63

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.31

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 4AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.77

Hawks position

Spread: Hawks (-8.5)

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.91

MOUZ position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.88

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 8AM ET