Polymarket Trader

kgf0618

0xce4ac45e9dd95e3913082d29b4f077b2c1b9f704

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $129.89
Realized PnL: $575.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $94.69
Potential payout: $96.72
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $16.11

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $75.76
User PnL: -$50

No position

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $35.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4.8
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.72
Potential profit: $6.72
User PnL: -$4.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.49

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.86

No position

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.65

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.67

No position

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.21

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.02

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.75

No position

Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.63

No position

Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.5

No position

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.93

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.16

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.15

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.03

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.99

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.72

No position

Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

No position

Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.35

No position

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.97

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.81

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.37

No position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.87

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?

No 87.5% 40 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 13% 140.35 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 57% 140.35 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 66% 75.76 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?

Yes 96.2% 103.98 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Yes 81.4% 19.62 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 97.5% 16.51 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Yes 81.2% 57.43 shares
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?

No 95.7% 23.8 shares
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?

No 93.1% 25.64 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Yes 81.3% 19.67 shares
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?

No 87.4% 18.81 shares