No position
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $957.16
- Potential payout
- $999.64
- Potential profit
- $42.48
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.68
Polymarket Trader
try1moretime
0xce4d7123b294829c505302800fc7bc0590b3d0e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.23K
- Realized PnL
- $3.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $681.88
- Potential payout
- $700.08
- Potential profit
- $18.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.14
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $575.1
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $24.9
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $456.68
- Potential payout
- $511.11
- Potential profit
- $54.43
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $55.27
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $498.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- User PnL
- $38.75
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $462.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $49.5
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $492.99
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $21.3
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $484.24
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $25.91
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $445.72
- Potential payout
- $449.99
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- User PnL
- $34.37
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $186
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $214
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$34
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $391.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $390.7
- Potential payout
- $399.49
- Potential profit
- $8.79
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.39
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $347.52
- Potential payout
- $375.09
- Potential profit
- $27.57
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $83.62
Yes position
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $250.01
- Potential payout
- $349.67
- Potential profit
- $99.66
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$37.88
Yes position
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $51.19
- Potential payout
- $339
- Potential profit
- $287.81
- Multiplier
- 6.62x
- User PnL
- -$29.63
Yes position
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $267.67
- Potential payout
- $338.83
- Potential profit
- $71.15
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $57.05
No position
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $333.41
- Potential payout
- $336.27
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- $17.28
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $67.65
- Potential payout
- $329.99
- Potential profit
- $262.34
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$103.05
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $289.6
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $30.4
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $8.58
- Potential payout
- $317.8
- Potential profit
- $309.22
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $308.61
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$10.04
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $294.46
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $5.55
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.05
Y
Yes position
Will Jonathan White be the Democratic nominee for MD-04?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.95
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $297.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- User PnL
- $8.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.9
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.28
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.5
Yes position
Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.7
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.32
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.41
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.38
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.37
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.13
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.78
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.3
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.38
Yes position
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
Yes position
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.4
No position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.9
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.12
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.4
Yes position
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 46% 200 shares
- Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Yes 47% 9.99 shares
- Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Yes 47% 9.99 shares
- Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Yes 46% 30 shares
- Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Yes 46% 50 shares
- Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Yes 46% 20 shares
- Will Casey Armitage be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?Yes 2.7% 20.1 shares
- Will Steven Elliott be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?Yes 0.1% 51.76 shares
- Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Yes 1.2% 99.99 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 81.7% 199.99 shares
- Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 48% 14.99 shares
- Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No 53% 70 shares