No position
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.42
- Potential profit
- $21.42
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
totalMoon
0xce54a3549611e5851f2a1b85f774afbf1b855581
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $101.95
- Realized PnL
- $27.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.29
- Potential payout
- $12.3
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.22
- Potential payout
- $11.22
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will gas hit (Low) $4.20 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.75
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.2
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.14
- Potential payout
- $9.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $8.58
- Potential payout
- $8.91
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Harvard international students ban ended before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.43
- Potential profit
- $8.43
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.17
- Potential payout
- $7.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.51
- Potential payout
- $5.54
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.84
- Potential profit
- $4.84
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $4.4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $4.21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $3.95
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $3.02
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
Yes position
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-03-15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Sorana Cirstea position
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirstea
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be less than 14,250,000?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Canada election called by midnight?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Iga Swiatek position
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Laura Siegemund
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be less than 17,500,000?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will "Frankenstein" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be between 17,750,000 and 18,000,000?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will "Champagne Problems" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 25 2025)
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Obama divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Team Lynx position
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Tianjin Pioneers position
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No 97.8% 11.25 shares
- Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No 98% 11.22 shares
- Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?No 97.2% 12.35 shares
- Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?No 98% 10.2 shares
- Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No 93.4% 21.42 shares
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?No 90.2% 5.54 shares
- Will gas hit (Low) $4.20 by May 31?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?No 89.8% 8.91 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 97.6% 12.3 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?No 96.6% 5.43 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No 97% 5.33 shares
- Tianjin Pioneers vs. Sichuan Blue WhalesTianjin Pioneers 92% 5.42 shares