Nexuus

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $21.75
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.88K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.43K

No position

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $21.75
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Will "T1" or "Trump mobile" or "Trump phone" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $373
Potential profit: $373
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $122.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $123
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $122.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $122.45
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $122.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $122.82
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $123
Potential profit: $122.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will "Phoebe Bridgers" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will "Billie Eilish" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will "Hayley Williams" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will "Lorde" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $53
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will "Heather Gilbert (The Fear of 13)" win Best Lighting Design of a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $41
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will "Passenger" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.98
Potential profit: $39.98
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $39
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $35.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will CZ post 140-159 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $32
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will "Soutra Gilmour" win Best Scenic Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will "Ladies First" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be less than 200k?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will "Passenger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will "The Roast of Kevin Hart" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will "The Boroughs" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will CZ post 200+ posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $26.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the NYT front page headlines say "Lied" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.83
Potential profit: $26.83
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 18 - May 24 be greater than 19,500,000?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will "Ran To Atlanta - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72M

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16M

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $714.42K

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.6K

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $240.94K

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.17K

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.22K

No position

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $157.12K

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $146.22K

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $145.76K

No position

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $104.66K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.61K

No position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $89.43K

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $59.22K

No position

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $48.02K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.34K

Yes position

Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.47K

No position

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $37.79K

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.11K

Yes position

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.01K

Yes position

Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.56K

No position

Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $26.98K

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.74K

Yes position

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $23.49K

No position

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $22.39K

Yes position

Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.74K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.47K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.25K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET