Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $13.34
- Potential payout
- $115.04
- Potential profit
- $101.69
- Multiplier
- 8.62x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Polymarket Trader
0xCE67C494f887b51550617531760fF614f2A55C3A-1782921675602
0xce67c494f887b51550617531760ff614f2a55c3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.34
- Realized PnL
- -$3.15
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $18.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$16.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?Yes 0.6% 631.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?Yes 35.7% 34.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?Yes 35% 8.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 4?Yes 22.7% 21.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?Yes 5.8% 86.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 4?Yes 22.5% 8.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?Yes 5.7% 87.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?Yes 2.9% 170.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?Yes 26.6% 98.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4?Yes 8.1% 98.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?Yes 19% 26.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?Yes 1.7% 288.43 shares