Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $46.36
- Potential payout
- $51.8
- Potential profit
- $5.44
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.85
Polymarket Trader
mke4j9o465957
0xce7e17213d1422e92202710d8991761f5c9f02b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $101.27
- Realized PnL
- -$3.14
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $36.91
- Potential payout
- $51.3
- Potential profit
- $14.39
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 10, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $49.78
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.26
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Triangle" during McGregor vs Holloway?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $10.82
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $10.19
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $4.73
Yes position
Will Nuclear TigeRES Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will 9z Team Win the XSE Pro League
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.04
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- $42.13
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$45.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?No 91.8% 1.12 shares
- Will John Stanton buy the Seattle Seahawks?No 94.9% 101.92 shares
- Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 97% 1.02 shares
- Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 97.4% 1.03 shares
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 99.1% 1 shares
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 99.4% 1.01 shares