Polymarket Trader

juanporco

0xce845c6892bcc6d256ab419e7803e5ff2e969e2b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $61.36K
Realized PnL: $4.4K
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $12.66K
Potential payout: $119.99K
Potential profit: $107.33K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$2.94K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $19.35K
Potential payout: $99.97K
Potential profit: $80.63K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $7.35K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $10.67K
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $59.32K
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $3.67K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $6.91K
Potential payout: $49.9K
Potential profit: $42.99K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$573.9

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.71K
Potential payout: $49.69K
Potential profit: $46.98K
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$1.76K

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $3.38K
Potential payout: $6.21K
Potential profit: $2.82K
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $966.07

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.23K
Potential payout: $5.23K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $445.76
Potential payout: $445.76
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $342.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.23K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $512.39

No position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $154.39

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$135.38

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.36K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 38.9% 6,207.8 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 67% 32.33 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 66% 84.15 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 64% 118 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 61% 95.08 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 62% 76.12 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 61% 79 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 61.8% 25 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 62% 30.91 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 55% 66.65 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 55% 21.11 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 58% 50 shares