No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $222
- Potential profit
- $218.78
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Polymarket Trader
JovialChuckleberry
0xce9b16d0b88f3b071a43461f58a40190f2fefead
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $173.7
- Realized PnL
- $133.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $112.86
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $62
- User PnL
- -$4.28
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $57.62
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $52
- User PnL
- -$1.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No 93.6% 90 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?No 97.7% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?No 95.4% 40 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.5% 39 shares
- Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?Yes 96.2% 22 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?Yes 95.6% 23 shares
- Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?No 94.2% 39 shares
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 2.9% 40 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 98.2% 104 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 104 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.9% 193 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes 3.4% 42 shares