No position
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.91
- Potential profit
- $476.91
- User PnL
- -$257.53
Polymarket Trader
lsd25
0xceab0b8b28e003d985fb8350e8e8dba8e53adeef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $265.3
- Realized PnL
- $701.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.31
- Potential profit
- $222.31
- User PnL
- -$133.18
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $178.3
- Potential payout
- $191
- Potential profit
- $12.7
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $31.23
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $87
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.09
- Potential profit
- $18.09
- User PnL
- -$7.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.84
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.65
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.72
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.05
No position
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 10%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.68
No position
Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.16
No position
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.79
Yes position
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.31
No position
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.73
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.42
Yes position
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.75
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47
No position
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Will the LayerZero proposal to acquire Stargate (STG) pass?
Ends Aug 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
US military action against Iran in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 77% 191 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 92% 81.77 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 77% 30 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 76% 200.93 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No 59% 20.63 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 41% 29.69 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 42% 29.69 shares
- U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?No 54% 20 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Yes 37.1% 728.37 shares
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No 43% 18.09 shares
- Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Yes 21% 7.81 shares
- Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 10%?No 82% 155.53 shares