motardio

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $748.44
Potential payout: $997.92
Potential profit: $249.48
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $9.98

No position

Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $390.41
Potential payout: $788.7
Potential profit: $398.29
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$21.6

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $473
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $77
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $117.5

No position

Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $437.65
Potential payout: $500.17
Potential profit: $62.52
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $51.57

No position

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $402.58
Potential payout: $476.43
Potential profit: $73.85
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$7.15

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $274.65
Potential payout: $465.5
Potential profit: $190.86
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $39.38

No position

Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $181.14
Potential payout: $441.8
Potential profit: $260.66
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$10.09

No position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $271.23
Potential payout: $420.51
Potential profit: $149.28
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$24.98

No position

Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $97.41
Potential payout: $414.5
Potential profit: $317.09
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $12.22

No position

Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $286
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $114
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $24

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $251.93
Potential payout: $384.63
Potential profit: $132.7
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $36.41

No position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $151.04
Potential payout: $355.38
Potential profit: $204.34
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $26.65

No position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $61.65
Potential payout: $228.32
Potential profit: $166.67
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $13.7

No position

Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $115.2
Potential payout: $217.36
Potential profit: $102.16
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $5.04

No position

Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $194.56
Potential payout: $204.69
Potential profit: $10.13
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $20.62

No position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.96
Potential profit: $203.96
User PnL: -$85.66

Netherlands position

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203
Potential profit: $203
User PnL: -$50.75

No position

Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203
Potential profit: $203
User PnL: -$93.38

No position

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.99
Potential profit: $201.99
User PnL: -$175.73

No position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $53.31
Potential payout: $201.16
Potential profit: $147.85
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $5.03

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $169
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $191.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $8.6
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $11.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $921.1

No position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $919.01

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $867

No position

Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $863.56

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $836.24

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $768.12

Yes position

Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $641.05

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.94

No position

Will Trump say "Insurance" during healthcare event?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $504.73

Yes position

Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Miami address?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $502.41

No position

Will Dean Huijsen be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.74

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $485

No position

Will Trump say "No No No" in Corpus Christi on Friday?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.25

Yes position

Will Dan Burn be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.27

No position

Will Trump say "Most Favored Nation" during Ohio visit?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.91

No position

Will Lewis Hall be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.02

No position

Will Trump say "Ballroom" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.33

No position

Will Harry Maguire be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?