No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
jackson-jackson
@a_guy_jackson
0xceb64f688a8e9969f8ecd26355d556a748b5d56e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $263.29
- Realized PnL
- $1.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $82.63
- Potential payout
- $592.31
- Potential profit
- $509.68
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- $32.39
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $121.24
- Potential payout
- $565.22
- Potential profit
- $443.98
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- $21.24
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $239.15
- Potential profit
- $239.03
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$69.88
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $20.29
- Potential payout
- $162.34
- Potential profit
- $142.05
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $146.3
- Potential profit
- $146.23
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.87
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $118.18
- Potential profit
- $115.87
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$27.7
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $92
- User PnL
- -$40.28
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $81.08
- Potential profit
- $81.04
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.96
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.37
- Potential profit
- $76.37
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.39
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $56.56
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$24.06
Yes position
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.44
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $53.42
- Potential profit
- $50.67
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$7.25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $15.74
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $21.3
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$4.26
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.23
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.63
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $21.72
- Potential profit
- $17.36
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$15.65
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $4.14
- Potential payout
- $21.46
- Potential profit
- $17.32
- Multiplier
- 5.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $14.49
- Potential profit
- $11.09
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$6.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.77
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $134.19
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.81
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.88
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.11
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Strickland position
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.58
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.6
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.13
Paulo Costa position
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.09
Nuggets position
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.32
Yes position
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.6
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.98
Yes position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.77
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Oilers
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.06
Yes position
Will Arman Tsarukyan win against Muhammed Mokaev?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.16
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.44
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.95
Oilers position
Oilers vs. Sharks
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 51.3% 35.71 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 61.6% 32.57 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 99.9% 49.98 shares
- Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?No 92% 32 shares
- Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No 85% 23.8 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.7% 11.37 shares
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No 89% 22.22 shares
- Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?No 91.2% 21.27 shares
- Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 56.2% 34.48 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 78% 27.4 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 69.8% 51.1 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 0.1% 1,000 shares