No position
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.7%
- Current value
- $47.1
- Potential payout
- $148.82
- Potential profit
- $101.72
- Multiplier
- 3.16x
- User PnL
- $43.49
Polymarket Trader
0xced0...b75e
0xced0bc81b395586357ee979d4c3b0858b80cb75e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $79.44
- Realized PnL
- $79.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $146.67
- Potential profit
- $145.86
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $88.06
- Potential profit
- $87.22
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$10.21
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $41.4
- Potential profit
- $39.35
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $29.18
- Potential profit
- $29.05
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $20.86
- Potential profit
- $16.58
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $11.96
- Potential payout
- $16.96
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $8.2
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $7.9
- Potential profit
- $7.85
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.67
- Potential payout
- $7.67
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.57
No position
Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will JD Vance clap between 80–89 times during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Will Trump say "Green Day" or "Bad Bunny" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
Will "Spanish" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
Curfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Friday?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 6?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 15?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will the NYC nurses strike end by January 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Ryanair say "Nonstop" or "Non-Stop" during earnings call?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5% 41.4 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?No 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?No 24% 8.33 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 6?No 80% 6.08 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 1.7% 90 shares
- Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 1.7% 88.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 1.8% 56.67 shares
- Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 3.5% 60 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?Yes 95% 1.52 shares
- Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?Yes 47% 7.28 shares
- Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?Yes 35% 2.78 shares